Firefighters at Gadiv Oil Refinery fire in Haifa. HAZMAT team criticized for arriving late. (Photo: Haifa FD - See article in our DDRS Magazine) |
Disaster Managers
are continually faced with elements that are beyond their control. It is a
matter of fait accompli and implements response assets with what is
available. In other words, it is not rocket science. But if policy makers
understood the consequences based on known gaps and analysis, response agency
success would dramatically improve. David Lincoln offers this overview addressing some of the issues requiring increased awareness and review in the United States.
Infrastructure Threats: The Path Ahead
There are many
threats out there. Heads of industry, government officials, and private
associations are raising awareness of the vulnerability of the U.S
infrastructure. There is fear amongst all of them that an attack or failure in
the system or technology will result in long-term consequences and potential
collapse of the infrastructure.
Hostile Threats versus Natural Threats
Hostile Threats
These are the forces that
threaten to physically attack and disrupt the normal operation of
infrastructure. These threats include:
- Terrorism: domestic and foreign
- Competitive domestic and foreign powers
- Individuals with a hostile intent towards the government or business
The problem is
that planning cycles are extremely rapid for these entities. They are
constantly adapting their strategies and can evolve their tactics to new
security measures.
Natural Threats
These forces that
deteriorate infrastructure. These are the forces of time, weather and neglect,
and include:
- Failure of aging steel, concrete and other materials
- Weakened structures from natural events and over use
- Technology and process failures
The American
Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) report card gives America’s infrastructure a
“D” rating. Inland waterways, levees, energy, dams, and drinking water all fall
within the “D” grade from ASCE. It is estimated that the investment needed by
2020 is $3.6 Trillion.
Key Challenges to Future Infrastructure: The Big Three
Improve Coordination Between the Government and Private Sector
There is no system
for government agencies to provide industry with information regarding the
threats to the Nation’s infrastructure. The result is that businesses and
utilities have different understandings of the security vulnerabilities, the
protections that are effective, and the investments that may be required to
secure their infrastructure.
To help with
these problems, many state governments are integrating private enterprise into
state fusion centers. This is a positive approach. Not only does it provide a way
to build distributable intelligence, it makes it deliverable in a consistent
and timely fashion. Another positive step are the efforts DHS is making to
communicate the facts behind its risk-based approach to commercial companies.
The risk profile facing companies will continue to change. There is a need to
educate business on how this will impact their critical infrastructure.
De-Centralize the Nations Infrastructure
The current
trend is to centralize the nation’s infrastructure, with both technology
platforms and supply chain assets functioning around a central hub. In fact,
many industries, such as electric, gas and telecommunications are part of a
national or regional grid structure.
Threats will
come from many different angles, but will be focused on these centralized
points of failure. There is a high level of inter-dependency among these
systems and a single penetration into a network may have a catastrophic,
cascading effect on the whole system.
De-centralizing
the infrastructure may be the best defense. However, his will require a new
vision and a look to the future state of the Nation’s infrastructure.
The Nation’s Aging Infrastructure
A major
threat to the infrastructure is not going to come from the outside, but from
within. The fact is that our infrastructure is aging, and too many are doing
too little to reverse this natural decline. This deterioration will accelerate
as society grows and changes. Future estimated demands on infrastructure:
·
By 2025, the global population is expected to be 7.9 billion,
mostly in developing countries. A growth rate that exceeds the ability of many
countries to upgrade and expand capacity of existing infrastructure.
·
Climate change will impact cities in coastal locations,
resource-dependent regions and economies that are closely linked with
climate-sensitive infrastructure
The American
Society of Civil Engineers gave this opinion of our infrastructure’s
resilience. According to the ASCE, "The condition of our nation’s roads,
bridges, drinking water systems and other public works have shown little to no
improvement since they were graded an overall D+ in 2001, with some areas
sliding toward failing grades." The opinion of William Henry, former
President of the ASCE is that “We need to establish a comprehensive, long-term
infrastructure plan as opposed to our current ‘patch and pray’ method to ensure
a better quality of life for everyone.”
It doesn’t
matter whether infrastructure is lost due to hostile or natural threats. It is
essential to develop a long-range plan, in conjunction with ASCE’s ideas that
addresses infrastructure upgrades. The focus has been on prevention and the
restoration of assets is sometimes forgotten. The issue of aging infrastructure
needs to be a national agenda item and new technologies used to monitor our
critical infrastructure.
Final Thoughts
The Nation’s
infrastructure and those protecting it have many challenges in order for it to
be considered acceptable by most security standards and still be profitable to
the business leaders. A willingness to work with government agencies to develop
a comprehensive approach to infrastructure protection, the issues of security
and reliability become very correctable problems.
David
Lincoln, BS, EMT-P, CFE is a Fire Battalion Chief and Disaster Manager in
Texas, USA. David is in his twenty-seventh year of emergency and disaster
response providing services on a domestic and international level. David is
part of the disaster management team for the Texas State Operations Center and
works in the Planning Section during declared disasters. David is also a guest
lecturer and instructor at the Academy for Crisis Management, Emergency
Planning and Civil Protection, a division of the German Federal Office of Civil
Protection and Disaster Assistance in Bad Neuenahr-Ahrweiler, Germany.
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